The bottom line is, this government will last for 5 years unless the
opposition can fill the streets with angry people. Those who think they can
achieve something without sacrifice; they do not know anything about crude
politics of Bangladesh . It seems Begum Zia,
and at large the opposition have washed their hands relying on some foreign
diplomats, as if the plate will be given to them without sacrifice. No
government with firm grip on Army and administration will fall without people’s
participation in mass magnitude and in violent uprising. USA and others may apply
some pressure to restore democracy, but they will not jeopardise their long
term interest in Bangladesh for the opposition
unless the opposition can put up a strong fight. At the moment BNP lacks this ability,
or is unable to motivate the people with good leadership, and Jamat don’t have
the mass support base as BNP . As for the Army, I
have many times in the past have said that the Army has been compromised from
no 1 to 10 with the Pilkhana massacre. Nothing will happen from the Army unless
some fragments are stupid enough to do the daring like Col. Faruk Rashid. That
only leaves the ordinary people to do a revolution like that of Egypt , and in my opinion
the opposition don’t have that kind of charismatic leadership at this moment to
motivate people. Government talk about Jamat alliance with BNP is only an issue to
divert attention from the real issue of restoring all party democracy, having
an inclusive election that envisage a free, fair and credible election under a neutral
government.
I don’t know the true position of the friends group on Bangladesh next government, or
how quickly they envisage an election, or whether their public stand is
different from their private position with the Awami Government. Dan Mozina is
shrewd and USA is shrewd. If anyone
believes every word they say then they are naïve or lack ability to understand
regional or international politics. Just to clarify my analysis, let me point
out where my doubt about their true intention lies. When Mozina met with Begum
Zia, he firmly underscored the need to stop violence, because American
investment in BD is being affected. What he really was trying to convey to
Begum Zia was that blockade was having an effect on American businesses
interest. I have no idea what Begum zia had said in return to him, but if Dan
Mozina was serious, instead of reminding Begum Zia to stop political activities,
he should have met with Hasina, and strongly should have told her to stop
indiscriminate killings, arrest of their leaders and activists, and allow the
opposition to open all of their political offices and let all the banned
newspapers and TV station to be re-opened, and immediately announce a new
election, but no such strong wording came from Dan Mozina. I suspect all of
these diplomats went to Begum Zia only to pacify her and hold her back from
agitation.
Many of the western diplomat’s hypocrisy really piss me off. Publicly Dan
Mozina may be saying one thing, but privately they don’t really like any
political party which adheres to Islamic politics. For Awamileague, Jamat is a
tactical vote issue, they know very well that in a fair election, Jamat voters
hold key to many constituencies, so naturally they would want Jamat to be as
far away as possible from BNP . Jamat and BNP have no ideological
unison other than patriotism and the need to remove this unjust government. And
this issue is a burning issue for overwhelming majority of the people of Bangladesh . I don’t agree that
our fate is at the hand of foreigners, in fact the future fate of India and USA ’s strategic policy in
this region is in our hand, but our leaders and people have given up on this
belief, and wilfully have surrendered their potential to the foreigners
including to India . If Jamat alliance
with BNP is a problem for Hasina accepting a fair
election, then this would have been a peanut issue to resolve. It is not simply
black and white. What Awami wants from Begum Zia is not only a separate ways,
but an agreement with BNP to completely severe
ties with jamat, and agree to accepting a government crackdown on them, banning
it as a political party, not allowing their activists and leaders to
rehabilitate under new party or merge with any other party. The issue now
should not have been about Jamat alliance with BNP , rather the issue
should have been about Awami tyranny, their dictatorship, illegitimate
election, the formation of one party government, and human rights abuses by the
government.
I don’t understand what Jamat had to do with one party election or any
future election. Right stands distinguish from wrong. If BNP thinks it can secure
an early election from Hasina by severing ties with Jamat, then by all means it
has right to choose what it sees best for them, but I don’t believe Awamileague
will accept an early election if the streets of Bangladesh becomes quite. But
from my perspective I see BNP faltering and in
severe weakness, both intellectually and politically. If they want to regain
momentum they need to quickly plan their strategy and put this to the people of
Bangladesh , otherwise without a
vision, firmness and a destination, no one will follow them and the entire
issue of an early free, fair, and credible election will be buried in the cold.
It is clear now that Awamileague has
no mandate. The government has become illegitimate by none confidence of the
people casting only 10 percent of vote. Since this government lost confidence
of the people, anything this government does or orders becomes illegal.
Therefore, ministers, MP’s of this illegal government can be treated as
criminals, and as such, people could make citizen arrest of those ministers and
MP’s and hand them to the people’s court for sentencing. A house of a person is
his property, and when someone forcefully occupies it, it becomes a duty for
its residence to remove him by all means, similarly I believe, a country is the
property of the people, and when someone occupies its treasury and parliament
forcefully, it becomes a duty on the people of the country to remove them by
whatever means. It will fall under the law of trespass. Awamileague MP’s are
now trespassing on our property and they should be removed by all means. Some
foreign countries want to see Bangladesh as a subservient nation, but people of Bangladesh want to see a country free from tyranny and in peace with
one another, but as long as Sheikh Hasina’s doctrine of one party rule lives,
we can have no peace
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